IMF raises 2026 global growth to 3.1%, cuts China to 4.5%

AI-generated briefing · First published 2026-10-13 16:25:48 UTC

IMF lifts 2026 global growth to 3.1% but warns of risks from inflation and AI valuations; China forecast cut to 4.5%.

The IMF raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1% while cutting China’s to 4.5% and lifting Taiwan’s to 10.7%, citing resilience amid geopolitical shocks and AI investment. [1] [2] [3]

Chief economist Silvana Tenreyro said the outlook shows “resilience under strain,” with inflation risks and concentrated growth in 32 countries accounting for 95% of global expansion. [1] [2] [3]

Sources

1. IMF global economic forecast shows 'resilience under strain'

   France 24 English · 2026-10-13 09:32:37 UTC · Full text

2. IMF最新增长预期：下调中国至4.5%，上调台湾至10.7%

   DW Chinese · 2026-10-13 11:08:00 UTC · Full text

3. 国际货币基金组织：下调中国经济增长，上调全球经济增长

   RFI Chinese · 2026-10-13 15:37:13 UTC · Full text

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